Forecasting global ENSO-related climate anomalies

作者: T. P. BARNETT , L. BENGTSSON , K. ARPE , M. FLUGEL , N. GRAHAM

DOI: 10.1034/J.1600-0870.1994.T01-3-00005.X

关键词:

摘要: Long-range global climate forecasts have been made by use of a model for predicting tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in tandem with an atmospheric general circulation model. The SST is predicted first at long lead times into the future. These ocean are then used to force and so produce forecasts. Prediction wintertime 500 mb height, air precipitation seven large climatic events 1970–1990s this two-tiered technique agree well observations over many regions globe. levels agreement high enough some practical utility. DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.1994.t01-3-00005.x

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