作者: Kathleen A. Cronin , Susan M. Krebs-Smith , Eric J. Feuer , Richard P. Troiano , Rachel Ballard-Barbash
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摘要: Objective: To estimate the effects of observed population-level changes in risk factors on population and incidence disease. Methods: Trends a set for colon cancer (vegetable intake, red meat alcohol consumption, physical activity levels, weight status) were modeled US adult over years 1975–1995 combined with relative estimates from epidemiologic studies probability distribution induction period to percentage change rates 1985 1995 due five factors. A sensitivity analysis was performed account imprecision related trends behavior risk. Results: Increased vegetable intake decreased intakes reduced risk, while increased body mass index cancer. When all considered together, average small accounted little recently decline incidence. Conclusions: Although these have potential greatly affect rates, that realized since adverse neutralized what progress had been made areas vegetables, meat, consumption.