Severity Score for Predicting In-facility Ebola Treatment Outcome

摘要: Abstract Purpose Sierra Leone recorded the highest incidence rate for 2013–2016 West African Ebola outbreak. In this investigation, we used medical records of patients with different sociodemographic and clinical features to determine factors that are associated treatment outcome during outbreak in constructed a predictive in-facility mortality score. Methods We anonymized 1077 laboratory-confirmed pediatric adult EVD who received at 34 Military Hospital Police Training School Treatment Centers between period June 2014 April 2015. later determined case fatality rates Ebola, odds dying treatment, score these based on their characteristics. Results model partitioned study population into three risk groups equal patient numbers, scoring: low (score ≤ –5), medium –4 1), high-risk group ≥ 2). The CFR belonging low- (≤–5), (–4 high- (≥2) were 0.56%, 9.75%, 67.41%, respectively. Conclusions succeeded designing an reflects severity can assist prioritization EVD.