Timely detection of localized excess influenza activity in Northern California across patient care, prescription, and laboratory data.

作者: Sharon K. Greene , Martin Kulldorff , Jie Huang , Richard J. Brand , Kenneth P. Kleinman

DOI: 10.1002/SIM.3883

关键词:

摘要: Timely detection of clusters localized influenza activity in excess background seasonal levels could improve situational awareness for public health officials and systems. However, no single data type may capture with optimal sensitivity, specificity, timeliness, it is unknown which types be most useful surveillance. We compared the performance ten electronic clinical timely throughout 2007/08 season northern California. Kaiser Permanente Northern California generated zip code-specific daily episode counts for: influenza-like illness (ILI) diagnoses ambulatory care (AC) emergency departments (ED), both without regard to fever; hospital admissions discharges pneumonia influenza; antiviral drugs dispensed (Rx); laboratory tests ordered (Tests); positive A (FluA) B (FluB). Four credible events were identified. Prospective surveillance was mimicked within each stream using a space-time permutation scan statistic, analyzing only available as day, evaluate ability timeliness detect events. AC fever Tests signaled during all four and, along Rx, had signals. FluA less ED, hospitalizations, FluB did not signal reliably. When included ILI definition, signals either delayed or missed. Although limited one plan, location, year, these results can inform choice streams influenza.

参考文章(34)
D. Vugia, D. R. Sunega, J. Louie, V. Fonseca, D. Hatch, G. Chavez, P. McVay, R. Schechter, G. Dunne, J. Hopkins, J. Giessick, S. Penfield, W. Chung, B. Sun, A. Maroufi, S. Munday, J. Zoretic, N. Pascoe, K. Harriman, K. Lopez, M. Ginsberg, J. Tueller, P. Kriner, P. Blair, D. Faix, Swine influenza A (H1N1) infection in two children - Southern California, March-April 2009. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. ,vol. 58, pp. 400- 402 ,(2009)
Kleinman K, Nelson A, Lazarus R, Platt R, Ritzwoller D, Yih Wk, Harmon R, Rehm B, Caldwell B, Nordin J, Richter B, Sherwood E, National Bioterrorism Syndromic Surveillance Demonstration Program. MMWR supplements. ,vol. 53, pp. 43- ,(2004)
Meyer Dwass, Modified Randomization Tests for Nonparametric Hypotheses Annals of Mathematical Statistics. ,vol. 28, pp. 181- 187 ,(1957) , 10.1214/AOMS/1177707045
Kirsty Hope, David N Durrheim, Edouard Tursan d’Espaignet, Craig Dalton, Syndromic surveillance: is it a useful tool for local outbreak detection? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. ,vol. 60, pp. 374- 375 ,(2006) , 10.1136/JECH.2005.035337
Daisuke Onozuka, Akihito Hagihara, Spatial and temporal dynamics of influenza outbreaks. Epidemiology. ,vol. 19, pp. 824- 828 ,(2008) , 10.1097/EDE.0B013E3181880EDA
David C. Pattie, Martin J. Atherton, Kenneth L. Cox, Electronic influenza monitoring: evaluation of body temperature to classify influenza-like illness in a syndromic surveillance system. Quality management in health care. ,vol. 18, pp. 91- 102 ,(2009) , 10.1097/QMH.0B013E3181A0274D
Martin Kulldorff, Lan Huang, Linda Pickle, Luiz Duczmal, An elliptic spatial scan statistic Statistics in Medicine. ,vol. 25, pp. 3929- 3943 ,(2006) , 10.1002/SIM.2490
Elisabeta Vergu, Rebecca F. Grais, Hélène Sarter, Jean-Paul Fagot, Bruno Lambert, Alain-Jacques Valleron, Antoine Flahault, Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance, France Emerging Infectious Diseases. ,vol. 12, pp. 416- 421 ,(2006) , 10.3201/EID1203.050573
W. Katherine Yih, Kathryn S. Teates, Allyson Abrams, Ken Kleinman, Martin Kulldorff, Robert Pinner, Robert Harmon, Stanley Wang, Richard Platt, Telephone Triage Service Data for Detection of Influenza-Like Illness PLoS ONE. ,vol. 4, pp. e5260- ,(2009) , 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0005260
Melissa McLeod, Kylie Mason, Paul White, Deborah Read, The 2005 Wellington influenza outbreak: syndromic surveillance of Wellington Hospital Emergency Department activity may have provided early warning. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health. ,vol. 33, pp. 289- 294 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1753-6405.2009.00391.X