Exploring the use of seasonal climate forecasts in Europe through expert elicitation

摘要: Abstract The importance of climate information for decision-making in sectors susceptible to variability and change is widely recognised. Advancements science have led an increased interest seasonal forecasts (SCF) although Europe very little known about the practical use these forecasts. To start filling this gap we conducted a workshop with experts subject area order elicit their knowledge experiences regarding current SCF Europe. We found that across fairly limited, particular such as energy, water, insurance, transport are taking lead. central role European Centre Medium-Range Weather Forecasts National Meteorological Services main providers was also highlighted. Perceived barriers uptake tend be associated factors accessibility, relevance, usability by end-users. Some our findings consistent other outside where has longer history. For example, interaction between actors, provided, influence institutional social all been noted important aspects influencing However, based on experts’ further research decision-makers end-users needed better understand potential benefits