Analyzing patterns in population dynamics using repeated population surveys with three types of detection data

作者: Guillaume Péron , Mathieu Garel

DOI: 10.1016/J.ECOLIND.2019.105546

关键词:

摘要: Abstract To facilitate the use of population counts as an index change, we describe a generalization distance sampling methodology to analyze, in addition observer, two other ways estimate imperfect detection probability: multiple observers and time-to-detection, flexible manner, meaning that not all sites or years need have information be surveyed same way every year. We also account for effect partially-observed individual covariates, group size on probability. Finally, separate probability availability from itself. perform thorough, illustrated assessment pros cons this framework with simulations real case studies. First, compare simple linear models, illustrating magnitude bias caused by detection. Second, standard sampling, variation However, was weakly identifiable, ability it probability, therefore debias trend estimate, depended data configuration. Combining time-to-detection solved weak identifiability applied study. recommend using both type analysis showcase, regression count against time. Discrepancies between results complex analyses can help identify sources former loss precision latter within logistical constraints local wildlife management schemes.

参考文章(46)
Michael J. Conroy, James D. Nichols, Byron K. Williams, Analysis and Management of Animal Populations: Modeling, Estimation and Decision Making Academic Press. ,(2002)
D. L. Borchers, Kenneth P. Burnham, Len Thomas, D. R. Anderson, J. L. Laake, S. T. Buckland, Advanced distance sampling Oxford University Press. ,(2004)
Rémi Choquet, Lauriane Rouan, Roger Pradel, Program E-Surge: A Software Application for Fitting Multievent Models Springer, Boston, MA. pp. 845- 865 ,(2009) , 10.1007/978-0-387-78151-8_39
Emily B. Dennis, Byron J.T. Morgan, Martin S. Ridout, Computational aspects of N-mixture models Biometrics. ,vol. 71, pp. 237- 246 ,(2015) , 10.1111/BIOM.12246
Ian Fiske, Richard Chandler, unmarked: AnRPackage for Fitting Hierarchical Models of Wildlife Occurrence and Abundance Journal of Statistical Software. ,vol. 43, pp. 1- 23 ,(2011) , 10.18637/JSS.V043.I10
Thibaut Couturier, Marc Cheylan, Albert Bertolero, Guillelme Astruc, Aurelien Besnard, Estimating abundance and population trends when detection is low and highly variable: A comparison of three methods for the Hermann's tortoise Journal of Wildlife Management. ,vol. 77, pp. 454- 462 ,(2013) , 10.1002/JWMG.499
George A. F. Seber, Carl J. Schwarz, Estimating Animal Abundance: Review III Statistical Science. ,vol. 14, pp. 427- 456 ,(1999) , 10.1214/SS/1009212521
K. P. Burnham, D. R. Anderson, J. L. Laake, S. T. Buckland, Distance sampling: estimating abundance of biological populations. Distance sampling: estimating abundance of biological populations.. ,(1993)
Paul B. Conn, Jeffrey L. Laake, Devin S. Johnson, A Hierarchical Modeling Framework for Multiple Observer Transect Surveys PLoS ONE. ,vol. 7, pp. e42294- ,(2012) , 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0042294