Selecting the best scale for measuring treatment effect in a network meta-analysis: a case study in childhood nocturnal enuresis

作者: Deborah M. Caldwell , Nicky J. Welton , Sofia Dias , AE Ades

DOI: 10.1002/JRSM.1040

关键词:

摘要: Dichotomous outcomes in pairwise meta-analysis are typically summarised using the odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR) or difference (RD). The hazard (HR) may also be used where events occur over time. Choice of scale is often determined by ease interpretation mathematical properties a measure, as there frequently insufficient power to compare goodness-of-fit across different scales. Network (NMA) combines evidence network treatment comparisons. NMA allows combination greater numbers trials, so potential use statistics determine an appropriate on which effects treatments additive. In this paper, we explore choice childhood nocturnal enuresis for outcome 'failure achieve 14 days consecutive dry nights'. We OR, RR both harmful (RRH) and beneficial (RRB) outcomes, RD HR. Using Bayesian framework, posterior mean residual deviance information criterion evaluate model fit selection between summary effect measures. I(2) examine within-comparison heterogeneity analyses. results suggest that HR RRB provide best fit. conclude should based physiological epidemiological understanding disease process, together with empirical assessment adequacy. given consideration underlying time-to-event process. demonstrate how can transformed alternative aid interpretability. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

参考文章(33)
J. Deeks, M. B Bracken, J. C Sinclair, H. T. O. Davies, M. Tavakoli, I. K. Crombie, When can odds ratios mislead? : Odds ratios should be used only in case-control studies and logistic regression analyses BMJ. ,vol. 317, pp. 1155- ,(1998) , 10.1136/BMJ.317.7166.1155A
AE Ades, Alex J Sutton, Sofia Dias, Nicky J Welton, NICE DSU Technical Support Document 2: A Generalised Linear Modelling Framework for Pairwise and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. ,(2011)
A. P. DEMPSTER, The direct use of likelihood for significance testing Statistics and Computing. ,vol. 7, pp. 247- 252 ,(1997) , 10.1023/A:1018598421607
Cathryn MA Glazener, Jonathan HC Evans, Simple behavioural and physical interventions for nocturnal enuresis in children. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. ,(2004) , 10.1002/14651858.CD003637.PUB2
Cathryn MA Glazener, Jonathan HC Evans, Desmopressin for nocturnal enuresis in children Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. pp. 1- 100 ,(2002) , 10.1002/14651858.CD002112
Deborah M Caldwell, A E Ades, J P T Higgins, Simultaneous comparison of multiple treatments: combining direct and indirect evidence BMJ. ,vol. 331, pp. 897- 900 ,(2005) , 10.1136/BMJ.331.7521.897
Guobing Lu, A. E Ades, Assessing evidence inconsistency in mixed treatment comparisons Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 101, pp. 447- 459 ,(2006) , 10.1198/016214505000001302
Jesse A. Berlin, Nan M. Laird, Henry S. Sacks, Thomas C. Chalmers, A comparison of statistical methods for combining event rates from clinical trials Statistics in Medicine. ,vol. 8, pp. 141- 151 ,(1989) , 10.1002/SIM.4780080202
S.D Walter, Choice of effect measure for epidemiological data. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. ,vol. 53, pp. 931- 939 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0895-4356(00)00210-9
Simon Eckermann, Michael Coory, Andrew R. Willan, Indirect comparison: relative risk fallacies and odds solution Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. ,vol. 62, pp. 1031- 1036 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.JCLINEPI.2008.10.013