A case study of a modelled episode of low Arctic sea ice
作者： Ann B. Keen , Helene T. Hewitt , Jeff K. Ridley
DOI: 10.1007/S00382-013-1679-Y
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摘要: Simulations of the Arctic sea ice cover over last 32 years generated by HadGEM1 coupled climate model are able to capture observed long term decline in mean September extent. is also capable producing an episode low extent similar magnitude anomalously 2007. Using a heat budget analysis, together with diagnostics partitioning changes and snow mass into thermodynamic dynamic components, we analyse factors driving as well those causing modelled event. The largely due extra melting during summer, partly at top surface ice, via heating from ocean it warms retreat. summer driven synoptic conditions moving across out basin, pre-conditioning which thinner than usual Eastern start melt season. This case study demonstrates that although does not persistent dipole pressure anomaly 2007, represents broadly mechanisms generating
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