Fractional cointegration, long memory, and exchange rate dynamics

作者: Ming-Shiun Pan , Y.Angela Liu

DOI: 10.1016/S1059-0560(99)00027-1

关键词:

摘要: Abstract In this article, we examine empirically whether fractional cointegration exists in the system of seven exchange rates and form is associated with long memory. The results indicate that a feature for only 1980–1984 sample, not entire post-1973 float, subperiod before 1980, sample after 1984. show significant memory, mean-reverting behavior equilibrium errors 1980–1984. also suggest are cointegrated usual way 1985–1992 data. current findings conjecture rates, if exists, could be changing across varying time spans.

参考文章(25)
John T. Barkoulas, Christopher F. Baum, FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCING MODELING AND FORECASTING OF EUROCURRENCY DEPOSIT RATES Journal of Financial Research. ,vol. 20, pp. 355- 372 ,(1997) , 10.1111/J.1475-6803.1997.TB00254.X
C. W. J Granger, Developments in the study of cointegrated economic variables Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 48, pp. 173- 188 ,(2001) , 10.1111/J.1468-0084.1986.MP48003002.X
CHRISTINA Y. LIU, JIA HE, A Variance‐Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates Journal of Finance. ,vol. 46, pp. 773- 785 ,(1991) , 10.1111/J.1540-6261.1991.TB02686.X
John H. Cochrane, How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP? Journal of Political Economy. ,vol. 96, pp. 893- 920 ,(1988) , 10.1086/261569
John Geweke, Susan Porter-Hudak, THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION OF LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 4, pp. 221- 238 ,(1983) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1983.TB00371.X
James H. Stock, James H. Stock, Matthew P. Richardson, Matthew P. Richardson, Drawing Inferences from Statistics Based on Multi-Year Asset Returns Social Science Research Network. ,(1990)
Christos Agiakloglou, Paul Newbold, Mark Wohar, BIAS IN AN ESTIMATOR OF THE FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCE PARAMETER Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 14, pp. 235- 246 ,(1993) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1993.TB00141.X
Yin-Wong Cheung, Kon S. Lai, A Fractional Cointegration Analysis of Purchasing Power Parity Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. ,vol. 11, pp. 103- 112 ,(1993) , 10.1080/07350015.1993.10509936