The Recent Advances in Decision Theory Under Uncertainty

摘要: Decision theory under uncertainty (from now on DT) has played a remarkable role in many scientific disciplines such as economics, management, sociology, political science, law, philosophy, psychology, biology, even physics1. Any discipline involves relationship between an observer and object of study. DT may often intervene order to clarify the influence her object, or at least its description, explanation, forecast. More general, inductive (or abductive) inferences based empirical evidence are guided by procedures criteria which decision-theoretic, be rephrased these terms. In social sciences, analysis is taken be, reducible to, set past, present, prospective, individual collective decisions. Though impact been deep disciplines, it safe say that been, more more, economics (Anand (1993, p.l)). Not chance, main contributors this century, have either economists (Knight, Keynes, Morgenstern, Allais, Shackle, Ellsberg, Quiggin, Yaari, Kreps, etc.) scholars with strong interest (Ramsay, de Finetti, {ptvon} Neumann, Savage, Aumann, Machina, Schmeidler, Epstein, Gilboa, etc.).