Climate change and conservation implications for wet meadows in dry Patagonia

摘要: Climate change is predicted to be a major threat for biodiversity and, from conservation prospective, it important understand how ecosystems may respond that change. Predicted climate effects on the distribution of meadows in arid and semi-arid Argentinean Patagonia by 2050 were assessed trends areas desertification vulnerability using species models (SDM) climate-change models. Four modelling techniques composed an ensemble-forecasting approach. Suitable will decrease 7.85% given changes climate. However, there two contrasting trends: severe reduction suitable north-west Tierra del Fuego Island, expansion south small section north-west. Meadows likely impacted change, probably due precipitation regimes, consequently many rely environment also impacted. Given low level protection Patagonia, such information meadow increasing improving network through planning.