Has the California Tobacco Control Program Reduced Smoking?

作者: John P Pierce , Elizabeth A Gilpin , Sherry L Emery , Martha M White , Brad Rosbrook

DOI: 10.1001/JAMA.280.10.893

关键词: Momentum (finance)Program evaluationPer capitaMedicinePopulationConsumption (economics)Environmental healthPublic healthTobacco controlTobacco industryGeneral Medicine

摘要: Context.—Comprehensive community-wide tobacco control programs are considered appropriate public health approaches to reduce population smoking prevalence.Objective.—To examine trends in behavior before, during, and after the California Tobacco Control Program.Design.—Per capita cigarette consumption data (1983-1997) were derived from tobacco industry sales figures. Adult (≥18 years) prevalence data were obtained from the National Health Interview Surveys (1978-1994), (1990-1996), Current Population (1992-1996), and California Behavioral Risk Factor Survey its supplement (1991-1997). Trends compared before introduction of program, with the period program being divided into 2 parts (early, 1989-1993; late, 1994-1996).Main Outcome Measures.—Change California compared rest United States.Results.—Per declined 52% faster in the early period than previously (from 9.7 packs per person month at the beginning 6.5 1993), the decline was significantly greater United States (P<.001). In late period, decline in slowed 28% so that 1996 an average of 6.0 consumed. No decline occurred the rest States, 1996, 10.5 were consumed. Smoking showed a similar pattern, but period, there no significant either or States. 18.0% California and 22.4% States.Conclusions.—The initial effect did not persist. Possible reasons include reduced funding, increased tobacco industry expenditures for advertising promotion, pricing and political activities. The question remains how community can modify regain original momentum.

参考文章(29)
P F Heiser, M E Begay, The campaign to raise the tobacco tax in Massachusetts American Journal of Public Health. ,vol. 87, pp. 968- 973 ,(1997) , 10.2105/AJPH.87.6.968
William S. Cleveland, Susan J. Devlin, Calendar Effects in Monthly Time Series: Modeling and Adjustment Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 77, pp. 520- 528 ,(1982) , 10.1080/01621459.1982.10477841
D. R. Shopland, A. M. Hartman, J. T. Gibson, M. D. Mueller, L. G. Kessler, W. R. Lynn, Cigarette Smoking Among U.S. Adults by State and Region: Estimates From the Current Population Survey Journal of the National Cancer Institute. ,vol. 88, pp. 1748- 1758 ,(1996) , 10.1093/JNCI/88.23.1748
Ramon C. Littell, Rudolf Jakob Freund, SAS System for regression ,(2000)
Michael P. Traynor, Stanton A. Glantz, California’s Tobacco Tax Initiative: The Development and Passage of Proposition 99 Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law. ,vol. 21, pp. 543- 585 ,(1996) , 10.1215/03616878-21-3-543
John P. Pierce, Trends in Cigarette Smoking in the United States JAMA. ,vol. 261, pp. 61- 65 ,(1989) , 10.1001/JAMA.1989.03420010071035
Eugene M. Lewit, Douglas Coate, The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking. Journal of Health Economics. ,vol. 1, pp. 121- 145 ,(1982) , 10.1016/0167-6296(82)90011-X
M. Manley, J. Pierce, E. Gilpin, B Rosbrook, C Berry, M Wun, Impact of the American Stop Smoking Intervention Study on cigarette consumption. Tobacco Control. ,vol. 6, ,(1997) , 10.1136/TC.6.SUPPL_2.S12
Andrew A. Skolnick, Court Orders California Governor to Restore Antismoking Media Campaign Funding JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association. ,vol. 267, pp. 2721- 2723 ,(1992) , 10.1001/JAMA.1992.03480200025005