A Critique of the Decision Analysis for Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer

作者: J Robert Beck , Michael W Kattan , Brian J Miles , None

DOI: 10.1016/S0022-5347(17)32409-6

关键词: Decision analysisSurgeryIntensive care medicineOutcomes researchWatchful waitingDecision treeLife expectancyMedicineProstate cancerBrachytherapyProstatectomyUrology

摘要: AbstractThe question of when to choose surgery over watchful waiting for treatment clinically localized prostate cancer is difficult. Recently, the Prostate Patient Outcomes Research Team (PORT) published a decision analysis that promoted as reasonable alternative invasive many men with prostatic carcinoma. Criticisms were leveled at itself, its structure, and especially probabilities utilities used in model.We reexamine PORT analysis. Structural sensitivity model was conducted, multi-way analyses incorporating data more recent than those The structure concluded be sound given available literature on progression. However, suggest some may understated, causing life expectancy surgical understated. Using these data, operate all gr...

参考文章(15)
Seth P. Lerner, Carie Seale-Hawkins, C. Eugene Carlton, Peter T. Scardino, The Risk of Dying of Prostate Cancer in Patients with Clinically Localized Disease The Journal of Urology. ,vol. 146, pp. 1040- 1045 ,(1991) , 10.1016/S0022-5347(17)37997-1
A W Partin, P C Walsh, J I Epstein, C R Pound, J Q Clemens, Serum PSA after anatomic radical prostatectomy. The Johns Hopkins experience after 10 years Urologic Clinics of North America. ,vol. 20, pp. 713- 725 ,(1993) , 10.1016/S0094-0143(21)00924-1
J.Robert Beck, Stephen G. Pauker, Jonathan E. Gottlieb, Karen Klein, Jerome P. Kassirer, A convenient approximation of life expectancy (the “DEALE”): II. Use in medical decision-making The American Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 73, pp. 889- 897 ,(1982) , 10.1016/0002-9343(82)90787-2
Sandra J. Tanenbaum, What Physicians Know The New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 329, pp. 1268- 1271 ,(1993) , 10.1056/NEJM199310213291713
M COWEN, A Markov model of the natural history of prostate cancer Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. ,vol. 47, pp. 3- 21 ,(1994) , 10.1016/0895-4356(94)90029-9
Gerald W. Chodak, Ronald A. Thisted, Glenn S. Gerber, Jan-Erik Johansson, Jan Adolfsson, George W. Jones, Geoff D. Chisholm, Boaz Moskovitz, Pinhas M. Livne, John Warner, Results of Conservative Management of Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer The New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 330, pp. 242- 248 ,(1994) , 10.1056/NEJM199401273300403
Zvi Fuks, Steven A. Leibel, Kent E. Wallner, Colin B. Begg, William R. Fair, Lowell L. Anderson, Basil S. Hilaris, Willet F. Whitmore, The effect of local control on metastatic dissemination in carcinoma of the prostate: Long-term results in patients treated with 1251 implantation International Journal of Radiation Oncology Biology Physics. ,vol. 21, pp. 537- 547 ,(1991) , 10.1016/0360-3016(91)90668-T
John G. Kemeny, J. Laurie Snell, Finite Markov chains ,(1976)
Jerome P. Kassirer, Stephen G. Pauker, The Toss-up The New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 305, pp. 1467- 1469 ,(1981) , 10.1056/NEJM198112103052409