Rule-Based Mode Choice Model: INSIM Expert System

作者: Abdul Ahad Memon , Meng Meng , Yiik Diew Wong , Soi-Hoi Lam

DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000753

关键词: Statistical modelTraffic simulationAdaptive learningDiscrete choiceMode choiceRule-based systemExpert systemOperations researchMode (statistics)Engineering

摘要: This paper presents an innovative rule-based intelligent network simulation model (INSIM) expert system (IES) which simulates real-time mode choice decision-making process of commuters in the presence multimodal traveler information. The IES captures interactions among available modes and decides on commuter’s based a socioeconomic traits prevailing travel condition. behavior is modeled represented by cognitive rules rule-base IES. Two important characteristics IES, reliability adaptive learning, are highlighted. Three different models, i.e., (1) pure (PRB), (2) discrete (DCM), (3) probabilistic (COM) introduced to formulate decisions. Simulation results show that highest level accuracy can be achieved applying PRB generate

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