Pledges for climate mitigation: the effects of the Copenhagen accord on CO2 emissions and mitigation costs
作者： Solveig Glomsrød , Taoyuan Wei , Knut H. Alfsen
DOI: 10.1007/S11027-012-9378-2
关键词: Economics 、 Climate change 、 General equilibrium theory 、 Environmental protection 、 Copenhagen Accord 、 Conference of the parties 、 Emission intensity 、 Computable general equilibrium 、 Greenhouse gas 、 Natural resource economics 、 Fossil fuel
摘要: The UN Framework Convention of Climate Change 15th Conference the Parties Copenhagen Accord has been followed up by national pledges greenhouse gas emissions reductions in year 2020 without specifying measures to enforce actions. As a consequence, capacity parties fulfil their obligations is basic interest. This article outlines effects full compliance with on emissions, economic growth, and trade. study based global computable general equilibrium model responses anthropogenic changes environment (GRACE) distinguishing between fossil non-fossil energy use. Global from fuels turn out be 15 % lower than business as usual scenario 3 below 2005. China India increase 1 5 above levels 2020. Russia net export steel corresponding around 30 45 production In spite some leakage intensive also China, we find that structural change remains dominant factor behind rapid reduction CO2 emission intensity towards
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