Statistical distributions of health risks

作者: Myron B. Fiering , Richard Wilson , Eileen Kleiman , Lauren Zeise

DOI: 10.1080/02630258408970329

关键词: Coherent risk measureStochastic processMechanism (biology)Probability distributionObservational errorTruncation (statistics)MathematicsEconometricsExtreme value theoryStatisticsMonte Carlo method

摘要: Abstract This study deals with the imprecision associated estimating risk of health effects due to environmental causes. The major thrust revolves around notion that calculation statistical risk, itself a probability, contains significant because cascade error through computations on which or probability contracting disease, is based. an old problem in mathematics and physics, conventional issues involving round-off, truncation related measurement errors are not discussed here. potential inadequacy model by calculated, inherent variability stochastic processes disease mechanism initiator transported down-gradient, varying levels human sensitivity more concern. These all conspire develop distribution rather than scalar value, policy-makers must deal this rational consiste...

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