作者: Myron B. Fiering , Richard Wilson , Eileen Kleiman , Lauren Zeise
DOI: 10.1080/02630258408970329
关键词: Coherent risk measure 、 Stochastic process 、 Mechanism (biology) 、 Probability distribution 、 Observational error 、 Truncation (statistics) 、 Mathematics 、 Econometrics 、 Extreme value theory 、 Statistics 、 Monte Carlo method
摘要: Abstract This study deals with the imprecision associated estimating risk of health effects due to environmental causes. The major thrust revolves around notion that calculation statistical risk, itself a probability, contains significant because cascade error through computations on which or probability contracting disease, is based. an old problem in mathematics and physics, conventional issues involving round-off, truncation related measurement errors are not discussed here. potential inadequacy model by calculated, inherent variability stochastic processes disease mechanism initiator transported down-gradient, varying levels human sensitivity more concern. These all conspire develop distribution rather than scalar value, policy-makers must deal this rational consiste...