Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database

摘要: Continental or global studies of coastal flood hazard in the context climate change encounter several obstacles. The primary concern is limited coverage sea level data, especially high-frequency sort needed to analyse extremes. In this paper we present calculations return periods storm surge heights and water levels for European coast. analysis utilized simulations using Delft3D hydrodynamic model driven by meteorological data with temporal spatial resolution, created under EURO-CORDEX activities. were calibrated short- long-term from over 150 gauges. Annual maxima extracted five simulations: 1971–2000 historical run as well 2021–50 2071–2100 based on two emissions scenarios each. Spatially varying rise projections also included. then fitted probability distributions order obtain periods. results combined more than 70,000 sections, so that they would be complimentary a river dataset developed parallel. study showed good match between simulated observed heights. It shows large differences future trends Europe.