Long-term water supply planning in an Australian coastal city: Dams or desalination?

摘要: Water resource managers and planners are continually involved in defining evaluating alternative policies to better meet changing water supply conditions the expectations of society. To undertake such long-term planning, this study developed a novel integrated system dynamics model combine economic, social scientific variables considerations within planning horizon. Extensive sensitivity analysis for these was considered long term process. The suggests that over longer time horizon, desalination provides more viable, cost effective secure bulk when compared building large rain-dependent dams.