Long-Term Electricity Scenarios for the MENA Region: Assessing the Preferences of Local Stakeholders Using Multi-Criteria Analyses

摘要: In recent years, most countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), including Jordan, Morocco Tunisia, have rolled out national policies with goal of decarbonising their economies. Energy policy goals these been characterised by expanding deployment renewable energy technologies electricity mix medium term (i.e., until 2030). This tacitly signals a transformation socio-technical systems 2030 beyond. Nevertheless, how objectives actually translate into future scenarios that can also take account long-term perspective up to 2050 correspond local preferences remains largely understudied. paper aims fill this gap identifying widely preferred for Tunisia. During series two-day workshops (one each country), research team, along stakeholders, adopted participatory approach develop multiple scenarios, which enabled pathways be modelled using Renewable Pathway Simulation System GIS (renpassG!S). We subsequently used Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) within Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) capture preferences. The empirical findings show stakeholders all three mainly or even exclusively based on renewables. demonstrate clear preference energies useful insights generated approaches planning.