Global climate change and the emergence/re-emergence of infectious diseases

作者: Roland Zell

DOI: 10.1016/S1433-1128(04)80005-6

关键词: Global warmingInfectious disease (medical specialty)DiseaseGeographyHuman healthOutbreakSouthern oscillationClimate changeExtreme weatherEcologyMicrobiology (medical)Microbiology

摘要: Abstract Variation in the incidence of vector-borne diseases is associated with extreme weather events and annual changes conditions. Moreover, it assumed that global warming might lead to an increase infectious disease outbreaks. While a number reports link outbreaks single events, El Nino/Southern Oscillation other largescale climate fluctuations, no report unequivocally associates discases increased temperature environmental expected accompany it. The complexity not yet fully understood pathogen transmission dynamics numerous variables be explanation problems assessing risk factors.

参考文章(89)
JGA Houbiers, LMG van de Watering, CHJ van de Velde, A Brand, Postoperative injection after colorectal surgery The Lancet. ,vol. 348, pp. 1665- 1666 ,(1996) , 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)65738-8
William Checkley, Leonardo D Epstein, Robert H Gilman, Dante Figueroa, Rosa I Cama, Jonathan A Patz, Robert E Black, Effects of El Niño and ambient temperature on hospital admissions for diarrhoeal diseases in Peruvian children The Lancet. ,vol. 355, pp. 442- 450 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0140-6736(00)82010-3
Sydney Levitus, John I Antonov, Julian Wang, Thomas L Delworth, Keith W Dixon, Anthony J Broccoli, Anthropogenic Warming of Earth's Climate System Science. ,vol. 292, pp. 267- 270 ,(2001) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1058154
M. J. Bouma, G. Poveda, W. Rojas, D. Chavasse, M. Quinones, J. Cox, J. Patz, Predicting high‐risk years for malaria in Colombia using parameters of El Niño Southern Oscillation Tropical Medicine & International Health. ,vol. 2, pp. 1122- 1127 ,(1997) , 10.1046/J.1365-3156.1997.D01-210.X
Georg Grabherr, Michael Gottfried, Harald Pauli, Climate effects on mountain plants Nature. ,vol. 369, pp. 448- 448 ,(1994) , 10.1038/369448A0
G Dennis Shanks, Simon I Hay, David I Stern, Kimutai Biomndo, Robert W Snow, None, Meteorologic Influences onPlasmodium falciparumMalaria in the Highland Tea Estates of Kericho, Western Kenya Emerging Infectious Diseases. ,vol. 8, pp. 1404- 1408 ,(2002) , 10.3201/EID0812.020077
Kevin E. Trenberth, Signal Versus Noise in the Southern Oscillation Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 112, pp. 326- 332 ,(1984) , 10.1175/1520-0493(1984)112<0326:SVNITS>2.0.CO;2
Simon I Hay, Jonathan Cox, David J Rogers, Sarah E Randolph, David I Stern, G Dennis Shanks, Monica F Myers, Robert W Snow, None, Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands. Nature. ,vol. 415, pp. 905- 909 ,(2002) , 10.1038/415905A
G. Taubes, GLOBAL WARMING: Apocalypse Not Science. ,vol. 278, pp. 1004- 1006 ,(1997) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.278.5340.1004
Martha Lucía Quiñones Pinzón, Germán Poveda Jaramillo, William Rojas Montoya, Iván Darío Vélez Bernal, Ricardo Mantilla, Daniel Ruiz Acero, Juan Santiago Zuluaga Giraldo, Guillermo León Rúa Uribe, Coupling between Annual and ENSO Timescales in the Malaria-Climate Association in Colombia Environmental Health Perspectives. ,vol. 109, pp. 489- 493 ,(2001) , 10.1289/EHP.01109489