Reduction potentials of energy demand and GHG emissions in China's road transport sector

摘要: Abstract Rapid growth of road vehicles, private vehicles in particular, has resulted continuing China's oil demand and imports, which been widely accepted as a major factor effecting future availability prices, contributor to GHG emission increase. This paper is intended analyze the trends energy emissions transport sector assess effectiveness possible reduction measures. A detailed model developed derive reliable historical trend between 2000 2005 project trends. Two scenarios have designed describe strategies relating development sector. The ‘Business Usual’ scenario used baseline reference scenario, government assumed do nothing influence long-term demand. ‘Best Case’ considered be most optimized case where series available measures such vehicle control, fuel economy regulation, promoting diesel gas tax biofuel promotion, are implemented. Energy up 2030 estimated these two scenarios. total potentials relative each measure estimated.