作者: Robert Brecha
DOI: 10.3390/SU5020664
关键词: Economic history 、 Petroleum production 、 Engineering 、 Ideology 、 Consumption (sociology) 、 Fossil fuel 、 Operations management 、 Peak oil 、 Natural resource 、 Oil production
摘要: Forty years ago, the results of modeling, as presented in The Limits to Growth, reinvigorated a discussion about exponentially growing consumption natural resources, ranging from metals fossil fuels atmospheric capacity, and how such could not continue far into future. Fifteen earlier, M. King Hubbert had made projection that petroleum production continental United States would likely reach maximum around 1970, followed by world few decades later. debate "peak oil", it has come be called, is accompanied some same vociferous denials, myths ideological polemicizing have surrounded later representations Growth. In this review, we present several lines evidence why arguments for near-term peak conventional oil should taken seriously—both sense there strong being societally unprepared declining will serious consequences.