Economic dynamics and technology diffusion in indian power sector
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2018.05.044
关键词: Feed-in tariff 、 Economics 、 Electricity generation 、 Wind power 、 Cost of electricity by source 、 Renewable energy 、 Natural resource economics 、 Energy development 、 Grid parity 、 Electricity retailing 、 Commerce
摘要: Abstract There is a growing concern among policy makers about how electricity generated and consumed in the context of energy security global climate change. In such scenario, renewable sources, especially solar wind energy, are likely to play significant role providing reliable sustainable consumers as they locally available their carbon foot print small. The future share power by renewables will greatly depend on expected generation cost government's support investments sector. Using levelised approach, capital cost, operating fuel costs major technologies compared. Then, forecast made for India, using non-linear Bass diffusion model over 15-year horizon, until 2030, all technologies, viz., coal, natural gas, hydro, solar, wind, biomass. results show present trends forecasts electricity-generating change mix, may increase total generation. However, fossil fuels continue remain competitive relative due advantage. main issue considered here whether each technology has reached its maximum penetration level. This helps set out path Indian sector
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