Forecasting Demand for Urban Land

摘要: To this point, the chapters in volume have focused on land supply. They addressed issues such as (1) what constitutes buildable land; (2) how environmental constraints, infrastructure and other public policies can affect its buildability; (3) to identify that, though effectively built, still accommodate new growth through redevelopment. Their assumption has been that there would be some need for a supply of land: words, demand exists. Supply are essentially two sides same coin. Assessment incomplete without an assessment land. This chapter provides framework thinking about urban examples techniques estimating demand. That use planning should explicitly address is not surprising. Land twentieth century United States always forecasting tinkering with market forces. development U.S. results from transactions occur context regulations.1 Municipal regional governments try anticipate demands serviced, it. In U.S., occurs markets. Planning means, inevitably, intervening markets development. If planners think intervention will make area better (more efficient, aesthetic, satisfying or fair) people who live work there, they must where likely go proposed (e.g., regulation). Any evaluation manage consider markets, accepted paradigm basic microeconomics: