作者: Conor Walsh , Sarah Mander , Alice Larkin
DOI: 10.1016/J.MARPOL.2017.04.019
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摘要: Projected growth in the international shipping industry is set to outstrip CO2 reductions arising from incremental improvements technology and operations currently being planned implemented. Using original scenarios, this paper demonstrates for first time that it possible a nation's make fair contribution meeting global climate change commitments, but requires transformation of sector. The scale nature varies depending on level demand how satisfied. scenarios show develop successful marine mitigation policy, essential consider interdependencies between ship speed, pattern services, extent rate innovation propulsion technology. Across difficult foresee deep decarbonisation can be achieved without an immediate, fleet-wide speed reduction; land-based energy-system transition strongly influences demand, which turn, required low-carbon change. Setting 2 °C heading multifaceted near-term changes sector, these are unlikely materialise major shift by stakeholders realise new innovative policies coming decade.