Changing lifestyles and consumption patterns in developing countries: A scenario analysis for China and India

作者: Klaus Hubacek , Dabo Guan , Anamika Barua

DOI: 10.1016/J.FUTURES.2007.03.010

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摘要: Abstract China and India are the world's largest developing economies also two of most populous countries. China, which now has more than 1.3 billion people, is expected to grow 1.4 by 2050, with a population 1 will overtake be country about 1.6 population. These countries home 37% today. In addition, have achieved notable success in their economic development characterised high rate gross domestic product (GDP) growth last decades. Together account already for almost fifth world GDP. The direct significant result amazing improvement quality life (or at least spending power) an increasing share populations both experienced transition from ‘poverty’ ‘adequate food clothing’; today growing parts getting closer ‘well do lifestyles’. segments society not satisfied any enough clothes, but eager obtain nutrient food, comfortable living, health care other services. theme this paper analyse how major drivers contributed environmental consequences past, take forward look impacts these driving forces India. identifies population, affluence technology pollution then applies simple equation Impact = Population × Affluence Technology , or I PAT evaluate effects changes on CO 2 emissions.

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