Quality of forecasts and business performance: A survey study of Russian managers
作者： Sergei P. Aukutsionek , Alexis V. Belianin
DOI: 10.1016/S0167-4870(01)00061-7
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摘要: Abstract This paper addresses the issue of quality and calibration business forecasts on basis empirical data collected in a longitudinal postal survey Russian managers 1996–1999. The was found to be typically poor, most have exhibited overconfidence by thinking their are good. Robustness these conclusions is analysed discussed, together with plausible economic implications.
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