Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak

作者: V. M. Silbergleit

DOI: 10.1155/2012/167375

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摘要: An analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 23 using lagged values smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According that, the amplitude current cycle 24 estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our adjustment shows that would have peak less than biggest one observed during 19 giving an additional support declination in activity which currently happening.

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