ESTIMATION OF CONTRIBUTIONS TO POPULATION GROWTH: A REVERSE-TIME CAPTURE???RECAPTURE APPROACH

摘要: We consider methods for estimating the relative contributions of different demographic components, and their associated vital rates, to population growth. identify components at time i (including a component animals not in i). For each such we ask following question: "What is probability that an individual randomly selected from + 1 was member this i?" The estimation these probabilities (^Y) are based on capture-recapture studies marked animal populations use reverse-time modeling. several sampling situations present example analyses meadow voles, Microtus pennsylvanicus. relationship between yi parameters elasticities (and other projection matrix asymptotics) noted discussed. conclude by suggesting model-based asymptotics be viewed as demo- graphic theory direct approaches used test with data sampled animals.