A scenario study on the influence of land use change on soil redistribution: A case study for the Álora region, Spain
作者： M.M. Bakker , G.J. Carsjens , L.H.M.A. Joosten , J.M. Schoorl , S. Diek
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摘要: This paper describes a research that explored the impact of historical and future land use cover changes on soil redistribution in Mediterranean landscape Alora, Spain. The objectives were to identify temporal spatial variability change pattern, effect landscape. past analysed by comparing four different maps area (1956, 1999, 2003 2007). effects redistribution, both on-site off-site, with LAPSUS model. Four explorative scenarios for 2030 developed, based an analysis trends drivers change. made spatially explicit, using probability maps. evaluated redistribution. results show trend towards more favourable composition respect erosion, as many marginal lands became abandoned or de-intensified. configuration, however, seems become slightly less agriculture expanded into steep relatively erosion sensitive substrates. demonstrate need counteract negative off-site consequences abandonment facilitating plant colonisation application fertiliser, seed-mixtures and/or tree planting mitigate informing farmers, applying anti-erosion measures making plans considering topographical position, context runoff accumulation.
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