Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
作者： Ruiyun Li , Sen Pei , Bin Chen , Yimeng Song , Tao Zhang
关键词:
摘要: … a mathematical model that simulates the spatiotemporal dynamics of infections among 375 Chinese cities (see supplementary materials). In the model, we divided infections into two …
sciencemag.org
harvard.edu
imperial.ac.uk参考文章(29)
Aaron A. King, Edward L. Ionides, Mercedes Pascual, Menno J. Bouma, Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics Nature. ,vol. 454, pp. 877- 880 ,(2008) , 10.1038/NATURE07084
Jeffrey Shaman, Wan Yang, Sasikiran Kandula, Inference and forecast of the current west african ebola outbreak in Guinea, sierra leone and liberia. PLOS Currents. ,vol. 6, ,(2014) , 10.1371/CURRENTS.OUTBREAKS.3408774290B1A0F2DD7CAE877C8B8FF6
O. Diekmann, J.A.P. Heesterbeek, J.A.J. Metz, On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations Journal of Mathematical Biology. ,vol. 28, pp. 365- 382 ,(1990) , 10.1007/BF00178324
E. L. Ionides, C. Breto, A. A. King, Inference for nonlinear dynamical systems Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 103, pp. 18438- 18443 ,(2006) , 10.1073/PNAS.0603181103
Wan Yang, Alicia Karspeck, Jeffrey Shaman, Comparison of Filtering Methods for the Modeling and Retrospective Forecasting of Influenza Epidemics PLoS Computational Biology. ,vol. 10, pp. e1003583- 15 ,(2014) , 10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1003583
O. Diekmann, J. A. P. Heesterbeek, M. G. Roberts, The construction of next-generation matrices for compartmental epidemic models. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. ,vol. 7, pp. 873- 885 ,(2010) , 10.1098/RSIF.2009.0386
C. Fraser, S. Riley, R. M. Anderson, N. M. Ferguson, Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 101, pp. 6146- 6151 ,(2004) , 10.1073/PNAS.0307506101
Chris Snyder, Thomas Bengtsson, Peter Bickel, Jeff Anderson, Obstacles to High-Dimensional Particle Filtering Monthly Weather Review. ,vol. 136, pp. 4629- 4640 ,(2008) , 10.1175/2008MWR2529.1
Daihai He, Edward L. Ionides, Aaron A. King, Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. ,vol. 7, pp. 271- 283 ,(2010) , 10.1098/RSIF.2009.0151
M.S. Arulampalam, S. Maskell, N. Gordon, T. Clapp, A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing. ,vol. 50, pp. 174- 188 ,(2002) , 10.1109/78.978374