A decision analysis framework for intermodal transport: Comparing fuel price increases and the internalisation of external costs

作者: Cathy Macharis , Ellen Van Hoeck , Ethem Pekin , Tom van Lier

DOI: 10.1016/J.TRA.2010.04.006

关键词:

摘要: Abstract This paper presents the impact of fuel price increases on market area intermodal transport terminals. Aim this research is to determine whether an increase in prices sufficient enough raise same degree that would be accomplished by stimulating through policy instruments. Therefore, several scenarios are analysed order verify different evolutions unimodal road compared Belgium. The LAMBIT-model (Location Analysis for Belgian Intermodal Terminals), which a GIS-based model ( Macharis and Pekin, 2008 ), used analyse enables visualisation area. LAMBIT incorporates network layers each mode setting up GIS includes four layers: network, rail inland waterways final haulage network. geographic locations terminals port Antwerp added as nodes municipality centres defined connected layers. Based representing respectively with 10% (low case), 50% (business usual case) 90% (high results show areas rise favour barge/road rail/road. Depending scenario, modal shift however differs. Additionally, compare measures effect increase, internalisation external costs model. For some years, European Commission supporting idea transportation should reflect true impacts environment society, relentlessly pushing towards so called ‘internalisation costs’ instrument establish fair efficient pricing modes. requires monetarizing effects adding them already internalized give correct signals. Results comparative analysis performed also presented paper.

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