Cognitive processes operating in hindsight

作者: Anders Winman

DOI: 10.1111/1467-9450.00110

关键词:

摘要: The aim of this investigation was to study the cognitive processes involved in ‘‘knew-it-all-along’’ effect, especially regard use inferential processes. results three experiments showed that magnitude phenomenon did not increase with more It is proposed only under misleading circumstances do associated overconfidence phenomenon. For a majority tasks introspectively classified as solved by pure guessing, hindsight entirely disappeared whereas ‘‘intuition’’ lead strongest bias. are generally consistent accuracy-assessment model (A. Winman et al., 1998).

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