Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling
作者： Mathis Rogner , Keywan Riahi
DOI: 10.1016/J.ESR.2013.02.006
关键词:
摘要: Abstract Nuclear energy has the potential to be a vital component toward clean strategy – but future systems may or not include nuclear power. This study explores range of pathways consistent with different levels demand, and explicitly assesses implications global phase-out. In our scenarios mitigation climate change is one main factors driving much needed transformation system. A outlined compared business-as-usual case. The are characteristic approaches mitigation, including alternative combinations supply demand-side changes. Our analysis indicates that under comprehensive effort, stabilization GHG concentrations at low (450 ppm CO2) would technically achievable even high demand We identify significant investments in efficiency improvements reduction offer most flexibility options
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