Applied Models of Urban Land Use, Transport and Environment: State of the Art and Future Developments

摘要: The idea that computer models of urban land use and transport might contribute to more rational planning was bom in the 1950s culminated 1960s. ‘new tools for planning’ (Harris, 1965) were thought be a major technological breakthrough would revolutionise practice policy making. However, diffusion faltered soon after pioneering phase, variety reasons (see Batty, 1994; Harris, 1994). most fundamental reason probably these linked paradigm dominant Western countries at time. They perhaps ambitious expression desire ‘understand’ as thoroughly possible intricate mechanisms development, by virtue this understanding forecast control future cities (Lee, 1973). Since then attitude towards has departed from ideal synoptic rationalism turned modest, incrementalist interpretation least partly determined failure many large-scale modelling projects.