Indirect CO2 Emission Implications of Energy System Pathways: Linking IO and TIMES Models for the UK

作者: Hannah E. Daly , Kate Scott , Neil Strachan , John Barrett

DOI: 10.1021/ACS.EST.5B01020

关键词:

摘要: Radical changes to current national energy systems–including efficiency and the decarbonization of electricity–will be required in order meet challenging carbon emission reduction commitments. Technology explicit system optimization models (ESOMs) are widely used define assess such low-carbon pathways, but these only account for emissions associated with combustion either do not or correctly allocate arising from infrastructure, manufacturing, construction transport technologies fuels. This paper addresses this shortcoming, through a hybrid approach that estimates upstream CO2 across future UK using multiregional environmentally extended input−output model, explicitly direct indirect supply infrastructure within ESOM (the TIMES model). Results indicate large significanc...

参考文章(48)
J.C. Minx, Giovanni Baiocchi, K Scott, J Barrett, Meeting the UK climate change challenge: The contribution of resource efficiency WRAP. ,(2009)
D. Vos, S. Kruitwagen, R. Huiberts, T. Kram, A. Seebregts, M.A.W. Klaassen, E.C. van Ierland, MARKAL-IO Linking an input-output model with MARKAL ECN. ,(1999)
Thomas O. Wiedmann, Manfred Lenzen, John R. Barrett, Companies on the Scale Journal of Industrial Ecology. ,vol. 13, pp. 361- 383 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1530-9290.2009.00125.X
Ad J. Seebregts, Gary A. Goldstein, Koen Smekens, Energy/Environmental Modeling with the MARKAL Family of Models Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. pp. 75- 82 ,(2002) , 10.1007/978-3-642-50282-8_10
P. Friedlingstein, R. M. Andrew, J. Rogelj, G. P. Peters, J. G. Canadell, R. Knutti, G. Luderer, M. R. Raupach, M. Schaeffer, D. P. van Vuuren, C. Le Quéré, Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets Nature Geoscience. ,vol. 7, pp. 709- 715 ,(2014) , 10.1038/NGEO2248
G. P. Peters, J. C. Minx, C. L. Weber, O. Edenhofer, Growth in emission transfers via international trade from 1990 to 2008 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 108, pp. 8903- 8908 ,(2011) , 10.1073/PNAS.1006388108
Thomas Wiedmann, Richard Wood, Jan C. Minx, Manfred Lenzen, Dabo Guan, Rocky Harris, A CARBON FOOTPRINT TIME SERIES OF THE UK – RESULTS FROM A MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT MODEL Economic Systems Research. ,vol. 22, pp. 19- 42 ,(2010) , 10.1080/09535311003612591
K. Kanemoto, D. Moran, M. Lenzen, A. Geschke, International trade undermines national emission reduction targets: New evidence from air pollution Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 24, pp. 52- 59 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2013.09.008
Glen P. Peters, Edgar G. Hertwich, CO2 embodied in international trade with implications for global climate policy. Environmental Science & Technology. ,vol. 42, pp. 1401- 1407 ,(2008) , 10.1021/ES072023K