Simulating the impact of policy, energy prices and technological progress on the passenger car fleet in Austria—A model based analysis 2010–2050

摘要: This paper investigates the effects of policy, fuel prices and technological progress on Austrian passenger car fleet in terms energy consumption greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. To analyse these a simulation model is used. We from bottom-up perspective, with detailed coverage vehicle specifications propulsion technologies. The focuses trend toward electrified systems their potential fleet’s GHG represent impact income development fleet, we combine top-down demand models. developed two scenarios for time frame 2010–2050, using different sets assumptions regulatory conditions increasing fossil continuous results indicate that material cuts emissions can be achieved changes to political framework cars. Appropriate taxation fuels cars stabilise individual motorised transport lead an improvement efficiency