Assessing the sustainability of renewable energy technologies using multi-criteria analysis: Suitability of approach for national-scale assessments and associated uncertainties

作者: Mads Troldborg , Simon Heslop , Rupert L. Hough

DOI: 10.1016/J.RSER.2014.07.160

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Multi-criteria analyses (MCAs) are often applied to assess and compare the sustainability of different renewable energy technologies or plans with aim provide decision-support for choosing most sustainable suitable options either a given location more generically. MCAs attractive multi-dimensional complex nature assessments, which typically involve range conflicting criteria featuring forms data information. However, input information on MCA is based associated uncertainties. The this study was develop apply national-scale assessment ranking eleven in Scotland critically investigate how uncertainties influence result. developed considers nine comprising three technical, environmental socio-economic criteria. Extensive literature reviews each selected were carried out gathered used alternatives. reviewed values generally found have wide ranges technology. To account uncertainty information, defined by probability distributions run using Monte Carlo simulation. Hereby probabilistic provided. We show that provided our specific case highly uncertain due conclude it important future studies address these explicitly, when assessing projects obtain robust results ensure better informed decision-making.

参考文章(72)
David J. C. MacKay, Sustainable Energy - Without the Hot Air ,(2008)
Stacey L. Dolan, Garvin A. Heath, Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Utility-Scale Wind Power Journal of Industrial Ecology. ,vol. 16, ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1530-9290.2012.00464.X
Masami Kojima, Robert Bacon, Issues in Estimating the Employment Generated by Energy Sector Activities World Bank, Washingotn, DC. pp. 1- 80 ,(2011)
S.D. Pohekar, M. Ramachandran, Application of multi-criteria decision making to sustainable energy planning—A review Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. ,vol. 8, pp. 365- 381 ,(2004) , 10.1016/J.RSER.2003.12.007
J.P. Brans, Ph. Vincke, B. Mareschal, HOW TO SELECT AND HOW TO RANK PROJECTS: THE PROMETHEE METHOD European Journal of Operational Research. ,vol. 24, pp. 228- 238 ,(1986) , 10.1016/0377-2217(86)90044-5
Theocharis Tsoutsos, Maria Drandaki, Niki Frantzeskaki, Eleftherios Iosifidis, Ioannis Kiosses, Sustainable energy planning by using multi-criteria analysis application in the island of Crete Energy Policy. ,vol. 37, pp. 1587- 1600 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2008.12.011
Athanasios I. Chatzimouratidis, Petros A. Pilavachi, Multicriteria evaluation of power plants impact on the living standard using the analytic hierarchy process Energy Policy. ,vol. 36, pp. 1074- 1089 ,(2008) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2007.11.028