作者: J.S. Oxford , C. Manuguerra , O. Kistner , A. Linde , M. Kunze
DOI: 10.1016/J.VACCINE.2004.10.053
关键词:
摘要: Sixteen EU scientists and doctors were interviewed about pandemic planning using psychometric methods applied to a scientific problem for the first time. Criticism was aimed at countries which have no plan whatsoever, majority of nations. Many such not invested in infrastructure public health. Amongst 15 or so published plans lack detail identified. Of particular need investment into avian virus vaccine stocks (H1-15), prepared licenses pre purchase agreed distribution, antivirals, antibiotics masks. Most but all members group predicted global outbreak within 5 years, most probably starting SE Asia. However it recognised that could start anywhere world had juxta position young people, chickens, ducks pigs. Mammalian cell culture production wild type with factory category III levels security exemplified. Antivirals would be essential ameliorate wave infection although significant quantities grown produced if, as 1918, 1957 1968 there is long period between isolation person spread. The wider community more energised than previously very serious preparations place way before begins this major health problem, completely dwarfing concerns bioterrorism.