Evaluation of municipal solid waste options in Turkey: Scenarios for energy recovery, carbon mitigation and consequent financial strategies

摘要: Abstract Solid waste management is a challenging issue in Turkey not only due to population and economic growths but its adverse environmental impact, financial problems technological obstacles, as well. The detailed evaluation of solid options significant end up with issues such shutting down the plants stopping investments which may cause serious result uncontrolled landfill gas emissions. This research presents theoretical model for energy recovery from municipal (MSW) Turkey, consequent carbon mitigation scenarios strategies regarding adoption European Union acquis, respectively. predicts growth compatible baseline scenario Turkish Statistical Institute data MSW generation each city between 2004–2043. three scenarios, namely open dump, incineration, are taken into consideration greenhouse (GHG) emissions, emissions economics subject regulations towards progress this adoption. aim fulfill literature gap by proposing practical formulations realistic models mentioned considering energy, economy ecology nexus based on regional characteristics systems consequence adapting management. Results show that maximum potential electricity production estimated be 3461–13,450 GW h (0.40–1.56 GW/annum) while it 1572–8386 GW h (0.17–0.96 GW/annum) incineration scenario. According nationwide projections, will have consumed 437 TW h 2236 TW h 2023 2043, While would meet 0.40–1.40% 0.15–0.60% interested years, respectively; supply 0.06–0.34% 0.07–0.38% consumption. total savings range 35.2–66.7 32.7–64.5 billion $, respectively time horizon at amount wastes corresponding equivalent other. It stressed better lowering GHG case proper emission control.