What Mean Impacts Miss

摘要: Labor supply theory predicts systematic heterogeneity in the impact of recent welfare reforms on earnings, transfers, and income. Yet most reform research focuses mean impacts. We investigate importance using random-assignment data from Connecticut’s Jobs First waiver, which features key elements post-1996 programs. Estimated quantile treatment eects exhibit substantial predicted by labor theory. Thus impacts miss a great deal. Looking separately at samples dropouts other women does not improve performance conclude that reform’s are likely both more varied extensive than has been recognized.