Moving Toward the Circular Economy: The Role of Stocks in the Chinese Steel Cycle

摘要: As the world’s largest CO2 emitter and steel producer, China has set ambitious goal of establishing a circular economy which aims at reconciling economic development with environmental protection sustainable resource use. This work applies dynamic material flow analysis to forecast production, recycling, iron ore consumption in Chinese cycle until 2100 by using services terms in-use stock per capita as driver future development. The whole is modeled determine possible responses industry light concept. If per-capita saturates 8–12 tons evidence from industrialized countries suggests, may peak between 2015 2020, whereupon it likely drop up 40% 2050. A slower growing could mitigate this hence reduce overcapacity primary production. Old scrap supply will increase substantially replace 80% for making 2050...