Environmental Risk and Uncertainty

作者: Joseph E. Aldy , W. Kip Viscusi

DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53685-3.00010-6

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Environmental risks may comprise the most important policy-related application of economics risk and uncertainty. Many biases in assessment regulation, such as conservatism bias stringent regulation synthetic chemicals, reflect a form ambiguity aversion. Nevertheless, there is evidence that people can learn from warnings information, Toxics Release Inventory data, consistent with Bayesian models. The fundamental uncertainties respect to environmental are coupled irreversibilities, making sequential decisions adaptive behavior desirable. Uncertainties over benefits costs mitigating pose challenges for any regulator, but insights drawn instrument choice literature inform design implementation welfare-maximizing pollution control policies. problem climate change motivates series illustrations how uncertainty affects policy.

参考文章(140)
Alistair Ulph, David Ulph, Global warming, irreversibility and learning The Economic Journal. ,vol. 107, pp. 636- 650 ,(1997) , 10.1111/J.1468-0297.1997.TB00031.X
Michael R. Caputo, James E. Wilen, Optimal Cleanup of Hazardous Wastes International Economic Review. ,vol. 36, pp. 217- 244 ,(1995) , 10.2307/2527434
Larry Karp, Jiangfeng Zhang, Regulation with anticipated learning about environmental damages Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. ,vol. 51, pp. 259- 279 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.JEEM.2005.09.006
W. Kip Viscusi, Wesley A. Magat, Bayesian decisions with ambiguous belief aversion Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. ,vol. 5, pp. 371- 387 ,(1992) , 10.1007/BF00122576
Paul R Portney, Housing prices, health effects, and valuing reductions in risk of death Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. ,vol. 8, pp. 72- 78 ,(1981) , 10.1016/0095-0696(81)90058-9
Sarah Lichtenstein, Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, Mark Layman, Barbara Combs, Judged frequency of lethal events Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning & Memory. ,vol. 4, pp. 551- 578 ,(1978) , 10.1037/0278-7393.4.6.551
Charles D. Kolstad, Systematic uncertainty in self-enforcing international environmental agreements Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. ,vol. 53, pp. 68- 79 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.JEEM.2006.08.001
Ben Groom, Phoebe Koundouri, Ekaterini Panopoulou, Theologos Pantelidis, Discounting the distant future: How much does model selection affect the certainty equivalent rate? Journal of Applied Econometrics. ,vol. 22, pp. 641- 656 ,(2007) , 10.1002/JAE.937
Anthony C. Fisher, Investment under uncertainty and option value in environmental economics Resource and Energy Economics. ,vol. 22, pp. 197- 204 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0928-7655(00)00025-7
B. N. Ames, L. S. Gold, Chemical carcinogenesis: too many rodent carcinogens. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 87, pp. 7772- 7776 ,(1990) , 10.1073/PNAS.87.19.7772