Linking annual variations of roe deer bag records to large-scale winter conditions: spatio-temporal development in Europe between 1961 and 2013

摘要: Synchrony in bag records over large spatio-temporal scales point to factors acting simultaneously on population size. In this manuscript, we analysed time series of annual roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) for 17 European countries the span 1961–2013. Even though a synchronous increase was identified 14 between 1986 and 1992, were not synchronised at level. We detected significant positive correlation North Atlantic Oscillation winter index (December–March) changes Czech Republic, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway Sweden. Further time-series analyses revealed lag length (L) 13 which highlights that number bagged year t significantly correlated t + L (negative association). conclude large-scale environmental variations or human-induced will only induce periodic fluctuations wildlife populations but also harvest. By incorporating knowledge about dynamics herbivores into management concepts, decrease chances serious pitfalls optimise measures control conservation.