The Mediterranean surface wave climate inferred from future scenario simulations

作者: P. Lionello , S. Cogo , M.B. Galati , A. Sanna

DOI: 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2008.03.004

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摘要: Abstract This study is based on 30-year long simulations of the wind-wave field in Mediterranean Sea carried out with WAM model. Wave fields have been computed for 2071–2100 period A2, B2 emission scenarios and 1961–1990 present climate (REF). The wave model has forced by wind a regional 50 km resolution. mean SWH (Significant Height) over large fraction sea lower A2 scenario than during winter, spring autumn. During summer also everywhere, except two areas, those between Greece Northern Africa Spain Algeria, where it significantly higher. All these changes are similar, though smaller less significant, scenario, winter north-western Sea, when higher REF simulation. Also extreme values future such change larger scenario. only exception presence extremes central In general, SWH, speed atmospheric circulation consistent, results show milder marine storms climate.

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