The 2°C scenario - A sustainable world energy perspective

摘要: Abstract A target-oriented scenario of future energy demand and supply is developed in a backcasting process. The main target to reduce global CO 2 emissions around 10 Gt/a 2050, thus limiting average temperature increase 2 °C preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. 10-region system model used for simulating strategies. review sector region-specific efficiency measures resulted specification incorporating strong measures. corresponding has been an iterative process close cooperation stakeholders regional counterparts from academia, NGOs renewable industry. shows that could provide as much half world's needs by 2050. Developing countries can virtually stabilise their emissions, while at same time increasing consumption through economic growth. OECD will be able up 80%.