Copulas-based probabilistic characterization of the combination of dry and wet conditions in the Guanzhong Plain, China

作者: Shengzhi Huang , Beibei Hou , Jianxia Chang , Qiang Huang , Yutong Chen

DOI: 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2014.10.039

关键词:

摘要: It is of great significance to investigate the joint probabilities of the combination of dry and wet conditions between adjacent seasons under the background of global warming. The Guanzhong Plain, a very important agricultural production area, was selected as the study area. The joint probabilities of the combination of dry and wet conditions between adjacent seasons based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in 1961–2010 were computed by copulas functions. The Mann–Kendall trend test method and wavelet analysis were used …

参考文章(35)
Kenneth E. Kunkel, North American Trends in Extreme Precipitation Natural Hazards. ,vol. 29, pp. 291- 305 ,(2003) , 10.1023/A:1023694115864
András Bárdossy, None, Copula‐based geostatistical models for groundwater quality parameters Water Resources Research. ,vol. 42, ,(2006) , 10.1029/2005WR004754
Eleanor J. Burke, Simon J. Brown, Regional drought over the UK and changes in the future Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 394, pp. 471- 485 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2010.10.003
Salvatore Grimaldi, Francesco Serinaldi, Asymmetric copula in multivariate flood frequency analysis Advances in Water Resources. ,vol. 29, pp. 1155- 1167 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.ADVWATRES.2005.09.005
Christian Genest, Louis-Paul Rivest, None, Statistical Inference Procedures for Bivariate Archimedean Copulas Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 88, pp. 1034- 1043 ,(1993) , 10.1080/01621459.1993.10476372
Shih-Chieh Kao, Rao S. Govindaraju, A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 380, pp. 121- 134 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2009.10.029
Wei-Zheng QU, Sheng-Gui DENG, Fei HUANG, Lu CHEN, Xue ZHAO, The Influence of Magnetic Index Abnormal Change in Solar Magnetic Field on Climate at Middle Latitude of North Hemisphere Chinese Journal of Geophysics. ,vol. 47, pp. 448- 456 ,(2004) , 10.1002/CJG2.506
Khaled H. Hamed, A. Ramachandra Rao, A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 204, pp. 182- 196 ,(1998) , 10.1016/S0022-1694(97)00125-X
Hong Wu, Michael J. Hayes, Albert Weiss, Qi Hu, An evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index, the China-Z Index and the statistical Z-Score International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 21, pp. 745- 758 ,(2001) , 10.1002/JOC.658
Qiang Zhang, Chong-Yu Xu, Xiaohong Chen, Zengxin Zhang, Statistical behaviours of precipitation regimes in China and their links with atmospheric circulation 1960–2005 International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 31, pp. 1665- 1678 ,(2011) , 10.1002/JOC.2193