Analysis of Observed and Modeled Surface Fluxes, Cloud Forcing, and Convective Processes for Improving the Meteorological and Oceanographic Modeling and Prediction Systems

摘要: Abstract : LONG TERM GOAL. The United States Navy is the Department of Defense s main source for standard meteorological and oceanographic (METOC) predictions. At heart these predictions are short-to-medium range weather forecasts produced by Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS; Hogan Rosmond, 1991). Surface flux fields from NOGAPS used as input to prediction systems. These systems include: 1) Thermodynamic Ocean System, 2) Polar Ice 3) Third Generation Wave Model. Given prominent role surface fluxes play in systems, it clear that their proper simulation vital. Presently, there significant shortcomings most ocean heat components (long-term mean biases greater than 50 Wm-2 many tropical/subtropical areas). long term goal this research determine underlying causes order to: enhance physical representation atmosphere extend skill its medium predictions, improve coupled via improved energy budget.