Modeling future U.S. forest sector market and trade impacts of expansion in wood energy consumption

摘要: Abstract This paper describes an approach to modeling U.S. forest sector market and trade impacts of expansion in domestic wood energy consumption under hypothetical future biomass policy scenarios. The Forest Products Module (USFPM) was created enhance the within Global Model (GFPM), providing a more detailed representation regional timber supply residue markets. Scenarios were analyzed with USFPM/GFPM ranging from baseline 48% increase 173% annual for 2006 2030, while fuelwood other countries assumed by around 65% aggregate. Results indicate that across range scenarios may have little impact on markets because most can be supplied logging residues are presently not being utilized also mill will projected product output decades ahead. However, analysis suggests could disrupted if much higher levels occur, or recovery housing demand does restrictive constraints costs imposed utilization.