Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps.
作者： Dmitrii Bogdanov , Javier Farfan , Kristina Sadovskaia , Arman Aghahosseini , Michael Child
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-019-08855-1
关键词:
摘要: A transition towards long-term sustainability in global energy systems based on renewable resources can mitigate several growing threats to human society simultaneously: greenhouse gas emissions, human-induced climate deviations, and the exceeding of critical planetary boundaries. However, optimal structure future potential pathways are still open questions. This research describes a global, 100% electricity system, which be achieved by 2050, steps required enable realistic that prevents societal disruption. Modelling results show carbon neutral system built all regions world an economically feasible manner. radical transformation will require steady but evolutionary changes for next 35 years, lead sustainable affordable power supply globally. The technical economic viability (RE) is understudied. Here authors utilized LUT Energy System Transition Model indicate way requires following years.
nature.com
harvard.edu
scilit.net参考文章(40)
Manuel Götz, Jonathan Lefebvre, Friedemann Mörs, Amy McDaniel Koch, Frank Graf, Siegfried Bajohr, Rainer Reimert, Thomas Kolb, Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review Renewable Energy. ,vol. 85, pp. 1371- 1390 ,(2016) , 10.1016/J.RENENE.2015.07.066
Jiyong Eom, Jae Edmonds, Volker Krey, Nils Johnson, Thomas Longden, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ,vol. 90, pp. 73- 88 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2013.09.017
Y Yamagata, C Le Quéré, MR Raupach, A Sharifi, P Smith, Y Yamagata, Betting on negative emissions Nature Climate Change. ,vol. 4, pp. 850- 853 ,(2014) , 10.1038/NCLIMATE2392
Sander A. Mann, Mariska J. de Wild-Scholten, Vasilis M. Fthenakis, Wilfried G.J.H.M. van Sark, Wim C. Sinke, The energy payback time of advanced crystalline silicon PV modules in 2020: a prospective study Progress in Photovoltaics. ,vol. 22, pp. 1180- 1194 ,(2014) , 10.1002/PIP.2363
Frans Berkhout, Peter Marcotullio, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Understanding energy transitions Sustainability Science. ,vol. 7, pp. 109- 111 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S11625-012-0173-5
Benjamin K. Sovacool, Alex Gilbert, Daniel Nugent, Risk, innovation, electricity infrastructure and construction cost overruns: Testing six hypotheses Energy. ,vol. 74, pp. 906- 917 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.ENERGY.2014.07.070
Benjamin K. Sovacool, Daniel Nugent, Alex Gilbert, Construction Cost Overruns and Electricity Infrastructure: An Unavoidable Risk? The Electricity Journal. ,vol. 27, pp. 112- 120 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.TEJ.2014.03.015
Pieter Tielens, Dirk Van Hertem, The relevance of inertia in power systems Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. ,vol. 55, pp. 999- 1009 ,(2016) , 10.1016/J.RSER.2015.11.016
J. Armbruster, M. L. Thieme, P. Petry, J. Zuanon, G. T. Vilara, J. Snoeks, C. Ou, W. Rainboth, C. S. Pavanelli, A. Akama, A. v. Soesbergen, L. Saenz, K. O. Winemiller, P. B. McIntyre, L. Castello, E. Fluet-Chouinard, T. Giarrizzo, S. Nam, I. G. Baird, W. Darwall, N. K. Lujan, I. Harrison, M. L. J. Stiassny, R. A. M. Silvano, D. B. Fitzgerald, F. M. Pelicice, A. A. Agostinho, L. C. Gomes, J. S. Albert, E. Baran, M. Petrere, C. Zarfl, M. Mulligan, J. P. Sullivan, C. C. Arantes, L. M. Sousa, A. A. Koning, D. J. Hoeinghaus, M. Sabaj, J. G. Lundberg, Balancing hydropower and biodiversity in the Amazon, Congo, and Mekong Science. ,vol. 351, pp. 128- 129 ,(2016) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.AAC7082
C. N. Waters, J. Zalasiewicz, C. Summerhayes, A. D. Barnosky, C. Poirier, A. Ga uszka, A. Cearreta, M. Edgeworth, E. C. Ellis, M. Ellis, C. Jeandel, R. Leinfelder, J. R. McNeill, D. d. Richter, W. Steffen, J. Syvitski, D. Vidas, M. Wagreich, M. Williams, A. Zhisheng, J. Grinevald, E. Odada, N. Oreskes, A. P. Wolfe, The Anthropocene is functionally and stratigraphically distinct from the Holocene Science. ,vol. 351, pp. 137- 137 ,(2016) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.AAD2622